Showing posts with label NOL. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NOL. Show all posts

Wednesday, September 24, 2014

NOL and its logistic business - Spin-off via listing or sell?

In my previous post, I made a summary of Neptune Orient Lines (NOL) and about its latest quarterly results.  I believe its current CEO, Ng Yat Chung, should be able to pull it through to future profits.  I have personally crossed path with several people who have worked with NOL's CEO before, and is able to obtain some insight into how he strategize and manage.  I have faith in him and his ability, just like the many people who have worked with him. 

Meanwhile, the below are some news regarding NOL's logistics business:

20 August 2014 NOL clarifies reports on plans to sell logistics business
SINGAPORE - Following media reports on Wednesday that Neptune Orient Lines (NOL) is planning to sell its logistics business, the Singapore-listed shipping company said such considerations are "preliminary and exploratory in nature".
Clarifying the report in a filing to the Singapore Exchange, NOL said it "continually evaluates all available options to improve the strategic positioning and performance of its businesses".
"These include considerations of a potential sale or initial public offering and listing of its logistics business as a separate, stand-alone unit from NOL," the company added.
It also stressed that "there is no assurance that any definitive transaction for the sale or an IPO of NOL's logistics business will be concluded".
Reuters reported early Wednesday morning that NOL, which is 67 per cent-owned by Temasek Holdings, is looking to sell its logistics business for more than US$750 million (S$935 million).
Shares in NOL jumped 3 per cent to their highest level in more than three months after the news.

20 August 2014 NOL shares jump 3% on news of potential logistics unit sale
SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Shares in Singapore's Neptune Orient Lines jumped 3 per cent on Wednesday to $1.01, their highest level in more than three months, on news that it is considering selling its logistics unit.
Reuters reported earlier that NOL, a shipping and logistics company in which Singapore's state investor Temasek Holdings owns a 67 per cent stake, is hoping to sell its logistics business for more than US$750 million (S$935 million).

20 Aug 2014 10:36 NOL: Considering Sale Or IPO Of Logistics Business
Neptune Orient Lines Limited continually evaluates all available options to improve the strategic positioning and performance of its businesses. These include considerations of a potential sale or initial public offering and listing of its logistics business as a separate, stand-alone unit from NOL. These considerations are preliminary and exploratory in nature. There is no assurance that any definitive transaction for the sale or an IPO of NOL's logistics business will be concluded.

20 August 2014 Logistics arm's sale or IPO 'preliminary and exploratory': NOL
SHIPPING and logistics company Neptune Orient Lines (NOL) on Wednesday clarified a Reuters report that said it is looking to sell its APL Logistics division for more than US$750 million and cited anonymous people familiar with the situation.
"NOL wishes to state that it continually evaluates all available options to improve the strategic positioning and performance of its businesses.
"These include considerations of a potential sale or initial public offering (IPO) and listing of its logistics business as a separate, stand-alone unit from NOL.
"These considerations are preliminary and exploratory in nature. There is no assurance that any definitive transaction for the sale or an IPO of NOL's logistics business will be concluded," it said.
NOL is made up of two major divisions - APL Logistics, a global freight management and logistics business, and a separate container shipping business named APL.
Reuters had reported that the company plans to launch a process in the autumn to find a buyer for APL Logistics and has hired banks to assist with that effort, according to sources.

Friday, September 19, 2014

Is Neptune Orient Lines (NOL) a buy now?

I have started to have very strong interest in Neptune Orient Lines (Singapore stock quote N03.SI (on Yahoo Finance)), currently at S$0.960.  
There may be changes/updates following some reports on review of their logistic business - either to sell or to list it as a separate entity. 

NOL in early August 2014 reported yet another quarter of red ink, as expected, a core net loss of US$55m in 2Q14, inline with analysts' forecast. 

Losses have been lowered both on a y-o-y and q-o-q basis, largely owing to the deployment of a newer more efficient fully owned fleet replacing expensive charters. Liner revenue was down 2% y-o-y though on the back of a 6% decline in volumes, as NOL strove to lower its exposure to loss making backhaul routes. As a result of this change in volume mix, average freight rates trended upwards by 7% q-o-q to US$2,321 per FEU. Results would have been better if not for one off costs incurred during the period, including some restructuring charges, port congestion effects in South California, G6 alliance related startup costs among others, which resulted in opex per FEU for the liner business climbing 3% y-o-y and 4% q-o-q to US$2,595 per FEU.

NOL has lost money for 2 out of the last 3 years, and NOL's improving operational efficiency has been derailed by one-off cost. However, NOL has recorded some success in passing through peak season hikes in early August on Transpacific routes, of about US$400/ FEU on the Transpacific
route from 1st August – lower than the proposed US$600/FEU – but still a reasonable success. US East Coast rates have actually jumped to their highest in a while, propped by diversion of cargo from the US West Coast ports, which are grappling with port worker pay related problems, with threat of strikes looming. Asia-US trade is up about 4.5% YTD in 2014, according to management, and if some of the rate hikes can hold up through the ongoing peak season, that could bring some near term cheer to the liners. However, longer term, the oversupply situation is still a distance from being resolved and losses for the industry could drag well into FY15.
The outlook looks bleak at the moment, but there is positive undercurrent coming its way considering the economic recovery of US. 

Company Profile:
Neptune Orient Lines Limited (Singapore stock quote N03.SI (on Yahoo Finance)), an investment holding company, owns and charters vessels and other related assets worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Liner and Logistics. It offers ocean shipping and container transportation services through intermodal operations. The company provides container shipping services in trade lanes comprising the Trans-Pacific, Trans-Atlantic, Latin America, Asia-Europe, and Intra-Asia trades. It operates a fleet of approximately 45 owned ships and 76 chartered vessels totaling 640,000 twenty foot equivalent units. The company also offers logistics services, including end-to-end services, such as supply chain design and engineering, shipment consolidation and deconsolidation, freight forwarding and customs management, and warehousing and distribution networks management services, as well as information technology solutions. In addition, it provides international, land transportation, contract logistics, and automotive logistics services, as well as ocean, air, truck, and rail freight management services. In addition, it provides other related and complementary services, including ship management; and incidental activities comprising the disposal of vessels, containers, and related assets. The company operates a network of approximately 190 facilities with 26 million square feet of warehouse space. It serves customers in various industries, including automotive/industrial, retail, consumer goods, electronics and technology, and other industries. The company was founded in 1968 and is based in Singapore. Neptune Orient Lines Limited is a subsidiary of Temasek Holdings (Private) Limited, which in turn is owned by the Singapore Government.

Financials & Outlook:
Last traded = $0.960
Market Capital = $2.48B
Current P/E = -
P/S = 0.28
Dividend Yield = 0

Debt/Equity    = 2.3
P/B    = 1.0
ROE    = -
Profit Margin = -
The technicals show strong support at about $0.96. 

I rate it a buy at current price. 

People will be very scared with NOL because of its multiple years' losses, but they will have to understand why.
For me, I believe NOL is going to turn the corner.  For such company whose business is very cyclical, catching them at rock bottom stock price will pay off very handsomely, and I believe this is probably about the time to get back this stock..................